I dunno, I think Packers are a better team with more proven QB and coach, not that the Commanders haven't given us trouble (but the last game kind of doesn't count). They (the Pack) have only lost to the three best teams in the NFC, even if Commanders mostly lost to good teams too.
Eagles are much better than they were in Brasil though.
Tampa wouldn't be easy either despite their record. But we can still hope for the Rams. Or for either the Bucs or Vikings to knock off Detroit.
PS, Jags fire Doug, Colts keep Steichen.
Eagles have never made it to the Super Bowl without a bye week, including 2022 when this current format was already in place (but they were #1).