Yeah, listen... they could win a series they shouldn't, it's baseball, it happens. They could also run off an eight or 10-game winning streak as we have seen them do before in the Girardi era multiple times.
But if they continue as they are, they might not win a series until Arizona on June 10, and certainly won't be favored to. They are currently on pace for less than 75 wins, and that's at 11-13. By June 2 they could be 20-31. Hopefully not. 25-26 and still trying to get on track would be, if not good, at least not dire.