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There are 278 replies with an estimated read time of 30 minutes.
There are 278 replies with an estimated read time of 30 minutes.
Yeah but I don't think any of the calculators are factoring that in (even the ones that use a tiebreaker) since it's not in force yet. Phillies need to go 3-4 against the Mets which means a home sweep would clinch it early. By the time the second series is concluded the number should be in the low single digits (hopefully it will be zero).
Mets have basically stayed where they are relative to the Phillies, both teams were 15-13 in August and are 4-0 in September (they trailed by 12.5 at the All-Star break though).
Not sure if posted elsewhere......good breakdown of tiebreaker rules and scenarios for all teams in contention:
https://www.mlb.com/news/mlb-playoff-picture-and-bracket-202422
Key passage: "The Phillies hold a critical tiebreaker advantage over the Dodgers and will clinch it against the Brewers if they win just one of three games in their series in September."
Would be disappointing if Brewers even catch up at this point. We are three full games up on them so even if we only take one game of that series, would still be three games up on them if they both play at the same clip otherwise.
Of course it would be nice to have home field in the NLCS (and the World Series) but I think the biggest playoff x factor is the division match-up. As of now the first seed would face either Padres or Dbacks; second seed would face either Brewers or Braves. Not sure there is right answer, and there's travel/jet lag to consider as well as quality of opponent.
According to this - and maybe it changed since you posted - it's 10 wins (not sure how you'd calculated the loss side for what is still seven or eight other teams.
I assume this year they won't celebrate clinching a mere playoff spot. Last year it was more of a grey area since division wasn't in reach (and they were pretty much set at #4 too).
if the Braves win all their remaining games, they finish with 96 wins. (Currently have 66 losses).
If the Phillies win 10 games they're at 96 wins, but if the two teams tie, Atlanta has the tiebreaker, that’s how I landed on 11.
But for Atlanta to win all their games means the Mets lose at least 3 times, so we finish ahead of them in the "Phils win 10 while the Braves never lose" scenario.