I think it depends on how the draft shakes out and who is available at 10 - with potentially 4 QBs going in the top 9 picks there could be a steal at the 10 spot and definitely a day one starter. They could also pick up a day one starter with their next two picks if things fall right.
I also don't think the value of dropping from 10 to 14 is picking up a second rounder, at least not this year. Future seconds are easier to acquire than current seconds because most GMs don't have the job security that Howie does, so he gets better value picking up draft picks in future drafts.
Last year's first round trades involving only picks:
WFT received pick 11
NO received 16, a 3rd (98) a 4th (120)
Lions received pick 12
Minnesota received pick 32, 2nd (34) and 3rd (66)
philly received 18, 3rd (101), 7th (237), 2023 1st, 2024 2nd
NO received 16, 19 and a 6th (194)
philly received 13
hou received 15, 4th (124), 2 fifths (162, 166)
KC receives 21
NE receives 29, 3rd (94), 4th (121)
Bal receives 25 and 4th (130)
Buf receives 23
Jets receive 26 and 3rd (101)
Titans receive 2nd (35), 3rd, 69) 5th (163)
TB receives 2nd (35), 4th (106), 6th (180)
Jax receives 27