Or two?
Another comparison:
The Memphis Grizzlies are the precedent here. Remember when they lost star point guard Ja Morant in January 2024 to a season-ending injury? Remember when they lost a bunch of starters and rotation guys around him for long periods? The 2023-24 Memphis Grizzlies set an NBA record using 33 players. They used an NBA-record 51 different starting lineups. They had a whopping 578 combined games missed because of injuries and were one of the most injured teams in league history.
They finished 27-55, 13th in the West, 19 games out of the final Play-In spot. They collected the No. 9 pick in the 2024 NBA Draft. Then they took Zach Edey, who has become an impact starter this season. Ja Morant and the other missing parts of their rotation returned healthy. Heading into Saturday night, they are 38-21 on the season, in the third spot in the Western Conference, and are a contender to make a run deep into the playoffs.
I just don't know how they can guarantee the tanking (they are not nearly as bad as Memphis was). But it should be so clear cut, since it's not about the quality of the pick or being in the lottery, it's literally having a pick or not having a pick.