I like the Scott Kingery story and he seems like a good guy, but he has a 30.1% K% in AAA, and in July he hit .325 and struck out less, but he walked 3 times in 84 trips to the plate. There are other warning signs. Just comparing him to Wilson. He takes more hittable pitches than Wilson (38.2% to 35.5%), but he chases at a 38.4% rate vs Wilson at 29%, and when they swing in the zone Wilson has a 84.5% contact rate and Kingery is 76.1%. Wilson swings and misses vs secondaries a touch more (34.9% to 32.8%).
To put the zone contact rate into perspective, on the Phillies among players with at least 100 PA, Kyle is last in zone contact rate a 76.1%, next lowest is JT at 81.7%. For hittable pitches, Wilson is about at Realmuto (35.5%), but then the gap above that goes to Rojas (42.7%), Marsh (43.1%), and Stott (45.5%). If we talk chase rate, Wilson would slot in next to Stott (29.5%) just behind Schwarber (23.1%) and Marsh (25.7%), but a chase rate of 38.4% would be between Harper (35.6%) and then the trio of Rojas (39.5%), Castellanos (42.2%), and Sosa (43.5%).
