GDT 8/13/23 Minnesota Twins (Gray, So) @ Philadelphia Phillies (Suárez, R)

[andyb]

Looks like he blew only 1 late game call as they do not list the Harper one which was much closer on the imperfect TV box. The Bohm call hurts of course because of the situation (probably cost the Phillies like 1.5 runs alone). It was also pretty far inside.

[zambonir]

Ha, I don't see how this board could claim the Bohm call cost the Phillies 1.5 runs given how many times it seems like they leave 'em loaded or strand runners ISP (to the point where we just assume they always will). But of course they could have scored as many as four. And the ump denied them the chance to find out either way.

I didn't think it was that egregious in real-time, and from the umpires vantage point (versus the luxury we had of watching on TV, or from the graphic above). Scott Lauber thought it was too close to take. And Schmidt said Bohm was probably more frustrated with himself than with the ump.

[andyb]

Well a Bohm walk automatically brings in 1 run. That pitch would have been ball 4. So the expected runs with Bryce in that situation have to be at least 0.5. Probably closer to 1 additional run as any walk would score 1 and any hit would score at least 2. I am sure there is some run probability calculation out there to show this (like all the WPA calculations).

[bkox]

Um... No one informed me there would be math involved!

[LoneStarPhan]

The called third strike to Harper was much closer. The one to Bohm was clearly not a strike, but umps make mistakes. They do not have the view we have on TV and don’t get the replay, freeze frame, and pitch analytics we get on TV. It was a costly mistake at a critical time in the game. It hurt the Phillies. It happens. Other times, it will help the Phillies.

[julio]