I see two in the past the past two years and 1 other this century.
I'm also assuming there have been some other seasons between 2012 and 2022 where they got off to better starts.... but didn't have better seasons.
I do think it's pretty random but also we probably need to stop thinking it matters at all, in the wild card/unbalanced era. Unless you just want a soccer-type championship (which we had in 2011).
Braves are just better than us, of course. But are they actually better prepared?