Interesting that the new panic is over "positive cases" because the death totals are trending so low that the press can no longer use them as a genuine reason to keep the country locked down. And don't take any of these numbers are from me, they are from the CDC, considered the Holy Grail by those supposedly in the know. Dr. Fauci sure trusts them, he uses them as Example A of why we should all wear masks, that came from the CDC. Now CDC says running nose, diarrhea and nausea are three more warning signs.
Anyhow, here are the numbers straight from the CDC. They issue data dumps 1-2 times a month and this Monday was their data dump. This updates the total number of virus deaths, even lists them by state. And the first thing that jumps out is how the death total has dropped precipitously. Here the weekly numbers starting from March 4 and continuing weekly through June 23. I rounded them off to nearest hundred...9500, 15,700, 16,300 [this was that April 18 week], 14,000, 11,600, 10,700, 8,700, 6,600, 5,400, 3,600, 1940 and last week was less than 1000 [they currently have it at 371 for the week but admit that these numbers are likely to go up once all the states re-check their death certificates. Once again, I ask...see a trend???
Now these are the accurate CDC numbers, not mine. You can find them at the National Center for Health Statistics and they even list by state. Here are a few interesting things I found right off the top of my head and it wasn't hard. Alaska has 12 deaths listed on Worldometer but actually have 0 deaths attributed to the virus, all 12 had other serious illnesses. On Tuesday Delaware did a dump of 69 people that had died as far back as April, those were not daily numbers but numbers from as far back as 2 months. Arizona admitted that their 79 yesterday were actually also from past data dumps, they are just including them now. New York is consistently;y adding numbers to its daily total, if you doubt me just track Cuomo's daily conferences where he says the number and then 20-30 a day are added to the Worldometer number, probably to catch up with earlier deaths that were unreported.
But here is the topper...Governor Murphy tried to add 1843 "probables" to his daily total today, even Worldometer wouldn't let him do this, it ended up being 29 today. Why is this happening? I will take a wild guess. When the numbers really were high [April] they under reported so they wouldn't be blamed for so many deaths [I am talking about those states who stuck sick virus nursing homes patients with healthy ones.] but now are adding past numbers to artificially keep them high because the death totals are dropping weekly and those invested in this must keep it alive.
Here are some other numbers you didn't hear today, I am sure. Did you know we tested 640,000 people today, 70,000 more than any day since testing started. Bet you didn't hear that BUT I am sure you will hear in your sleep that 41,000 tested positive...that number scares people. But a number of 4.8% positive wouldn't scare people so you won't hear that yet that was the positive rate for tests today. And state need only stay below 10% to be deemed progressing, with a rate of less than 8% considered decent. Logic dictates that since the more tests, the more positives but they aren't saying that over 80% are asymptomatic and wouldn't even know they had the virus if they weren't tested every time they go to get a cup of coffee at Starbucks.
And here is another thing unreported..in Arizona [and this came from a nurse who works in an Arizona hospital and confirmed by one of the doctors there] if you test positive on Monday and are hospitalized for, lets say, knee surgery that counts as a case on Monday. Fair enough. BUT they test the same person Tuesday and if they test positive [likely] they are counted as another case. So one person becomes two cases, which makes the number seem higher than it really is.
The hospitals in DFW and Austin both indicated today that they aren't close to full in use of beds and that their letters to the Texas Dept of Health were misunderstood. And Houston's hospital beds, while higher, are still in the green zone.
For 2 months all we heard was "fatalities, fatalities, fatalities." And justifiably. But now its "cases, cases, cases." Why is that and isn't there anyone out there who has noticed this, even if you do believe this is still a crisis? Maybe, just maybe its because the fatality rate is dropping as many said it would. And this drop indicates things are getting better, the virus is weaker [as most coronaviruses eventually do], younger people are getting the virus with almost no sickness, and children ages 5-14 are now seven times more likely to pass from the flu than the coronavirus. Yet we still talk about keeping schools closed?
I have said before some day there will be a reckoning for all the things being screamed on almost every TV station now to keep people home and scared. If I am wrong we should know in 2 weeks or so because we are seeing unprecedented testing, unprecedented positive tests, which theoretically should lead to a higher fatality rate. If the numbers stay flat or continue to drop, what will that tell you? It should tell you that the virus is not as dangerous as it was in April/May. And we should all start breathing again.
If I am wrong I will be the first to admit it, haven't left this site in 19 years and don't plan on leaving now.
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