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Aug 2022

They lowered the threshold to four years so they could put Thome in in 2016 (still a questionable decision IMO though I get the intangibles). I think the cancellation of Rose in 2017 and the death of Halladay (who also needed the four-year rule) kind of messed up their timeline. As did the pandemic, big-time. Had they been able to have the 40th anniversary that year they could have just done Trillo and left it at that. But once they knew that wasn't going to be until 2022 that opened the door for these guys.

I think they are also waiting for Utley, Rollins and Howard to all be eligible - and HOF-eligible - together so they can decide once and for all how to handle it. The '80s overkill was weird for sure, but it was important to finally do Abreu. Now they should do Rolen before going all-in on the '08 team (besides Charlie and Gillick who are already covered).

They definitely had to honor Abreu. And I have no problem with Hall of Famers (and Halladay was a special case). If Rolen wasn't ready to do this yet, I would have gone with Rollins, or one of those old timers. If I had to pick a short-timer, I might have gone with Cliff Lee.

Sidenote: Rollins didn't officially retire until 2019. Howard as well.

So is it measured by last game played or official retirement papers, and is the Hall's criteria different from the team's? This would also be applicable to Hamels, for instance.

I guess the team can do whatever they want since they have already changed the rules. It’s hard to understand why they would be more restrictive than Cooperstown. If they wanted to select any of the 2008 team already, they could.

Tug got all the glory in 1980--and had, shall we say, personality--but over the long haul, Reed was really the rock of that bullpen from 1976-83. And, Trillo was the 1980 NLCS MVP, not insignificant.

Seminick, yes, but the cadre of fans who actually remember him is probably fading as well. Shoot, how many people out there can claim to have been one-time Philadelphia Athletics fans? A kidnergarten kid who rooted for them in their last season here in 1954 would be 73 now.

Yeah clearly the HoF goes with last game played not when you officially retire (so long as you don't play).

I do think they are waiting for Chase, and/or still deciding whether to retire the three numbers. And while Burrell (a near lifelong Phillie) and Charlie and Gillick and Halladay are already on, they probably want to do the Big 3 before considering Chooch and Victorino. Werth may be more of a longshot since he's already done it with the Nats.

If none of these things were considerations I would think you just do Lidge first. There was also that one year where Jamie Moyer was on the ballot and then he never was again. I don't know if he fell out with the team once the broadcasting didn't work out or if it was all this other stuff.

And what about Brett Myers?

Do we think Jimmy has the best HOF chances? My data-centric view was more 50% for Chase, 30% for Jimmy, and like 2% for Ryan in terms of their chances of eventually getting in. I could see where Jimmy gets more intangible support from the veteran's committee since he has the counting stats and Gold Gloves, but one would hope the electorate is educated enough these days to see Chase is a little bit ahead on career impact (not too mention peak value).

I wonder whether Chase has some baggage from "the slide." I've heard from some New Yorkers that they still haven't forgiven him.

I blame David Bell if Chase doesn’t get in. He cost Chass at least a year at the height of his abilities I remember taking a sign to a Barons game saying “Free Chase Utley” when they sent him back to AAA for the third year.

David Bell didn't deny Utley that year at second base. I mean, yes, David Bell was selfish, and Utley lost that year in the bigs. But David Bell didn't make that decison; that was spinelessness in the front office, an unwillingness to actually lead, to actually manage. Selfish players have always existed; good organizations do not allow such players to drive their decision-making.

It's interesting to remember that David Bell was actually very good in 2004, a 4.4 WAR season for him. Bell seemed to fall apart right at the time they traded Polanco.

(I'm not arguing that Utley shouldn't have been playing more and earlier, and that he was clearly the future for the Phillies at that time.).

Yeah if anything Bell - while still not personally to blame - cost the Phillies Polanco more than he blocked Utley. Of course you could also blame Rolen for the entire chain of events - but that's also on the team management, not the player.

Perhaps that is why I find the current management so refreshing after years and years of being a Phillies phan. There is no way the Phillies of the past release Familia, Herrera, and Gregorius mid-season.

Well, they did release Michael Saunders back in the day. And Kintzler made a decent chunk of change last year (David Hale did not). With Bell/Polanco they just picked the wrong guy to trade!

It really needs to be Rolen next year.

It would be quite a big deal and they can make themselves look very classy and professional in the process after the Rose stuff this year.

Give him a bobblehead or something, too.

The 2008 guys are not a draw. They are around quite a bit. Alumni weekend used to be a big deal and this year they were outdrawn by an Eagles open practice

I've said many times before that if the Phillies did not sign David Bell and kept Polanco at thirdbase from 2002-12, they win the Rolen trade. And, who knows, considering how narrowly we missed the Postseason in 2005 and 2006 and how good Polanco was in those seasons in Detroit, maybe we would have been talking about a seven year Postseason run.

Plus we may not have had to a sign an almost-washed Polanco as a free agent!