Phillies Magic Number to Clinch at least the final Wild Card

[zambonir]

[Sabin]

So are they 18, 3, or 21 games away? I vote 3

[Aquapong]

19 to clinch the 5 seed, 17 to clinch a playoff spot.

And only really relevant because we have 7 games remaining against the Braves, their magic number to make sure we don’t get the 4 seed is 13.

[zambonir]

I considered cropping but thought it was nice of Didi to congratulate Bryce (and hey, I bet he gets a share)

[Philsmania]

The Brewers have gotten a bit hot, winning three straight to stubbornly remain 3.5 games behind us (4.5 with the tiebreaker). Maybe the Padres who are only two games ahead of them need to start sweating.

[Aquapong]

17 for the 5 seed, 15 for a playoff spot. Still 13 for the Braves to keep us from the 4 seed.

[el-pietro]

Phillies won and Brewers lost last night, should it not have improved from 18 to 16?

[Philsmania]

Per this handy little tool, the Phillies magic number is 16.

https://www.omnicalculator.com/sports/magic-number

[Aquapong]

I don’t think that accounts for the head to head tiebreaker we have over the Padres and Brewers.

[zambonir]

Yeah I think we have to accept that the magic number is for outright clinching until the time comes.

The Brewers' elimination # is 18 but that's now relative to the Padres not the Phillies.

2022 MLB Magic Numbers and Clinching Scenarios | Major League Baseball

[RolenRules]

Obviously love the Rolen pic! Thanx Z.

[zambonir]

That's right, you can lose four games in a row and still gain ground (took long enough though)

[Aquapong]

I’ll admit I’m worried now. The Brewers have a more favorable schedule at this point. A few tough games with the Mets and Cards, but they also have a series against the Fish, Dbacks, and, Reds. Even if we make a playoff spot, we don’t look good at all right now. Too many holes in the lineup.

[Philsmania]

The Padres' schedule may be somewhat tougher than ours with three games against Cardinals, four against the Dodgers, three in Colorado which can be a tough place to play even when the Rockies are bad (50-44 at Coors Field this year) and three against the competitive (and, at the moment, barely contending) White Sox. In terms of the last ten games, the Brewers are currently the hottest of the three (7-3, Padres are 6-4, Phillies are 5-5). If I was a betting man, I might place my money on the Brewers surging to the second wildcard and leaving it to the Phillies and Padres to win (or back into) the third wildcard. Interestingly, the Brewers FO largely selling at the deadline (Hader to Padres, a deal which angered the Brewers' clubhouse considerably) just might be something that is energizing the clubhouse and Hader has been pretty bad this season--especially for the Padres--while Devin Williams has seized the day taking over for Hader.

[Philsmania]

Meanwhile, the Phillies' elimination number for the division is 4.

[zambonir]

If the Phillies do as poorly as 6-10 over the next 16 games the Brewers still have to go 9-7. If they go 8-8 the Brewers have to go 11-5.

I guess I could see them going anywhere from 8-5 or 7-6 to 6-7 or 5-8 before the Astros series. If they return to normal form at home/against bad teams they will be fine. If they struggle on this homestand they will be under pressure on the road trip and probably won't be in or out until Houston (even if it's just the first game).

[zambonir]

The Astros series really could be weird. Yankees are not likely to catch them for top seed and they've already clinched #2. But they're still gonna have to mostly use their regular players, to keep them sharp as well (since they'll already get plenty of days off with the bye).

Astros clinch AL West, 1st-round bye to ALDS

[Aquapong]

The Brewers lost last night Zam. Where’s next pic?

[Philsmania]

The Brewers lost last night Zam. Where’s next pic?

And, love him or hate him...

[zambonir]

Yes by all means group efforts are welcome!