I fear this is more of a SSS item. Just tonightâs 1 HR will impact the stats (to a degree).
I donât think there are many (any?) pitchers any longer that are better the 3rd time through. Some have less impact, but my guess is that Nola is one of those guys that gets tired and gets more hittable the more you see of him.
I donât have access to easy data from my current location to see if that is proven by numbers over the last few years.