I would says it's more like the 2019 or 2018 Eagles. Those were 9-7 playoff teams that could have easily been 7-9. Last season was a joke all around.
Right now Fangraphs projects the Mets with 89.3 wins, the Braves with 81.9 and the Phillies with 79.5, but that could change over the course of one homestand (or with head-to-head success). We've basically still got an 81-83 win team in a division that may be won by an 86-win team.
Barring more severe injuries (i.e. if Harper gets hurt or drops off while playing hurt) they should be able to stay in the mix but if LF and SS are both lost causes and Bohm can't find his way, we won't have to wonder if they should go for it in 7 weeks.
The formula for winning this year included having as good an offense as last year, and it isn't by a longshot. If nothing else, there should be power with those Ks. I don't know that this is anything Joe Dillon can fix though, it's more that we just brought back the same team as last year, one year older, with all the hitters who aren't old all failing on top of that.