Always glad to hear your intelligent, articulate voice SF!
I'd disagree with certain points here...I'm not worried about Mark Cuban or Jeffrey Lurie losing money on their teams. I'm worried about marginal athletes losing their entire careers, I'm worried about people employed by symbiotic businesses losing their entire incomes, I'm worried about students and teachers and professors relying on what is essentially a counterfeit educational remote-learning model (at least in terms of accountability and legitimate educational support) for another year(?) or so, and I'm worried about what happens to social organizations and churches that are ESSENTIAL features of our communities if they can't assemble. And I'm not in favor of dying for any economy, no matter how corrupt. I'm OK with dying for the people who will be irreparably damaged by a long shut-down. We are already seeing a large spike in suicides...already. And suicides do a boatload of peripheral damage to the lives of friends and relatives (spoken from personal experience...). And, honestly, I'm worried about social unrest. I saw two people almost come to blows today about whether one should be wearing a mask in a particular situation. It was seriously nasty--people have lost their patience. As a scientist who often deals with unanticipated consequences of even small changes in regulations, I'm predicting that the negative unintended consequences of this shutdown will be enormous. I'm not sure that the cure (LONG-TERM) would not be worse than the disease.
I am also resigned to the fact I'm probably not going to convince anyone in any decision-making capacity of this, and all the decision makers (even Trump's people) are extremely risk-averse, so I'm anticipating they keep the lid on until there are almost no existing cases, as the NBA doc suggests. He's not just speaking for the NBA, he's speaking with the voice of almost all administrative risk managers and health-care people (at least those I know). I know you have all dealt with those people--I do seminars for them, and they still don't get that there is no such thing as a risk-free world.