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Apr 2022

I think the problem is the Phillies have behaved as if they had a chance to make the World Series for each of the last four seasons, and each year that they don't, they double down, which also comes at the expense of young players. And the unwillingness to exceed the cap also made it impossible to buy their way out of mistakes.

Which Dombrowski has already made his share of, some of them all his own and some them continuations from the previous regime. Last year it was some really bad pitching additions, the misevaluation of Howard, the mystifying two-year contract for Didi and a CF situation that remains unresolved this year. This year it looks to be defense and some very redundant roster construction and no starting pitching depth, though I'm sure the plan is to just ride out the first three months and then see if they are playing to just make the post-season, or more.

I still reckon they should have gone into more of a rebuild and who knows how close they actually came to that (remember when they had no GM, Wheeler was in trade rumors and it looked like JT might actually not get re-signed?).

But barring that, last year we wound up with a team that was willing to trot out Didi Gregorius, Torreyes/Galvis, Cutch and Trevor Jankowski as 50% of its primary starting 8. Granted, they didn't necessarily have the young players to fill all those holes - Stott wasn't ready, Kingery and Haseley were out, Vierling wasn't yet a consideration. But imagine if young players got the same leash as declining high-paid vets.

When Todd Butler recruited Bohm to play at WSU, he said "this kid is going to be a Major Leaguer. His swing is that good." There were questions about him being able to stay at 3B as early as his freshman year. The Phillies were not the only team ready to draft him in the first round.

love it when a kid just bangs down the door and forces himself into the conversation

I too hope that Moniak has unlocked something…however, I need to remember that Spring Training isn’t reflective of regular season production. For example, in 20 Grapefruit League games in 2018, Scott Kingery batted .381 with a .415 on-base percentage and a .725 slugging percentage. Lots more proof needed before we should truly get excited. Nonetheless, this is the first real sign of hope, so I will take it for now.

Credit Moniak for playing his way into the conversation. Hopefully it’s real. I’ll gladly eat my helping of crow.

In the offseason, Long watched more than 1,000 of Moniak’s plate appearances as a pro. He greeted him last month with a simple suggestion.

“You need to get on the plate,” Long said.

“Wow,” Moniak said. “OK, well, maybe I should get on the plate.”

He did, and it has helped.

I'd have no problem with Bohm and Stott starting in AAA ball, as long as Long is a frequent visitor to Allentown.
I'd even start Moniak there under the same conditions.

The worst thing for a young player is to be in a situation where a bad day has the manager benching you b/c the team is in a playoff race - better to play everyday in AAA and get your swing fixed and your approach perfected, then get brought up to play everyday, not twice a week.

Dombrowski should make it clear to Girardi either he plays the kids or he doesn't get shiny new toys.

Moniak is showing a real nice power stroke, pulled it deep to right then over the LF fence. It looks like Long has found something, but I don't want him struggling in the majors part-time if he can play full time and tear up AAA ball and develop the confidence to work through bad games at the next level.

It's a long season, I'd rather not rush our future and watch it crash and burn.

The way teams use the 40-man roster has made this less and less possible. With Stott (who obviously isn't even on it) and Bohm they have Camargo (and Maton) if they wanted to seriously keep them in AAA for a while. In CF they really don't have anyone other than Moniak without losing someone else.

I think they've been pretty clear that if Stott is up, he plays. They are making noise about finding ABs for Bohm too but that would be more difficult.

Kingery comparison applies to Stott too, until he proves otherwise.

There is a really good case to just get through the April expanded rosters with Bohm and Moniak on the big club with 16 pitchers and then worry about Stott in May. But if we do bring both Stott and Bohm north there is playing time to be had if we stick to a rotation of platooning and regular rest.

2B: Segura (150 games) Utility (12)
SS: Didi (110 games) Utility (52)
3B: Stott (110), Bohm (52)
1B: Hoskins (140 games), Utility (22)

That means there are 86 more starts out there for Camargo or additional starts for Bohm and Stott on the other side of their platoon. One might end up with a rotation absent injury that gets Stott about 140 starts and Bohm 70-80 (picking up the extra 1B playing time). Only about 30-40 starts left over for Camargo but that is the middle infield reserve's role.

The manager needs the discipline to sit Didi against LHP and essentially platoon Stott and Bohm at 3B. If Didi slips at SS then Stott moves back there in a mostly full time role and Camargo picks up more 3B playing time. It is not ideal, but certainly a doable plan. And any injury would take care of getting more playing time for Stott or Bohm also.

Yeah I think Matt has made this case on Twitter as well - including the part where you can't trust the manager to have either the ability or inclination to do it.

Gotta figure all the extra 1B starts to go JT or Schwarber though.

If Bohm is on the team I think I still push for him to get the extra 1B starts unless they really want an extra left-handed bat in the lineup. Schwarber might make sense for that, but as of now he is a big negative on defense.

Now about JT - I don't really care if he wants to play 1B. I'd rather have him DH or just sit. Wear and tear on a catcher is a very real thing. I'd almost rather him sitting and pinch-hitting for Stubbs the last time around the lineup if needed (or even in the 5th or 6th if there are runners on). As with Didi, the manager needs to sit the veteran for platoon or load management reasons over the veteran's wishes.

I'm not sure Joe can even stop JT from getting 130 starts at catcher.

Not that he's unusual for a manager, though less so in the current baseball era where the front office is more hands-on. You obviously want room for both, but with some teams, the front office would actually tell the manager which platoon player to put in the line-up on any given day.

Still think all the tea leaves say Bohm is going to AAA, and we could also see a minor trade to make room for Stott.

Moniak 2-2 today with a SB. He should make the team even if it is only keeping the spot warm for Herrera.

Still has not walked of course, so part of his Spring Training stats is likely hitting the ball hard against pitchers just getting the ball over. But he is hitting it hard at least.

And Bohm with a nice line-drive single to right. I can't help but think he looks like he swings a really long bat, between that and his own long wingspan no wonder it would be tough to hit fastballs.

With the signings this offseason, this team is built to win now. Perform or go figure it out in the minors.

Winning teams are constantly getting contributions from the edges of their 40 man roster. The Phils don’t have time for kids to be figuring it out if they are costing us games.

He has made the team.

A few weeks ago, when Phillies manager Joe Girardi was asked if Moniak would be an option to platoon in center field, he demurred that Moniak wasn’t in the team’s plans at the position. And then on Sunday morning, while he was working out in the weight room, Girardi approached him.

“Hey,” he said nonchalantly. “I just wanted to let you know you’re coming with us to Philly.”

Knebel looking pretty good starting his inning. Velocity seems free and easy and his curveball is a really good pitch.

Dominguez a little less velocity today and Aaron Judge made him pay.

Wingrove got ahead in the count but started to chase. And LH Yemal Flores got to hit against Aroldis Chapman. At least he made contact.

A walk and a HBP makes one hit worth three runs for Dominguez.

Only a few more days until the real season gets underway.

Some small decisions:

Ronald Torreyes, Dillon Maples and Yairo Munoz reassigned to Triple-A.

— Todd Zolecki ( @ToddZolecki ) April 4, 20221

Active roster has 18 pitchers left with Coonrod certain to go to the IL and a couple of other possibles (Sherriff, Brogdon).

14 position players. Herrera certain to go to the IL. That leaves 13 including Moniak, Maton, and Bohm. Stott also possible among position players. Assume we keep 1-2 of Stott, Maton, and Bohm depending on whether we have 12 or 13 position players. Stott is the only move that would require a 40-man move though we also could clearly look for a pitcher outside the organization.

So, Ryan Sherriff is dealing with some biceps soreness, Joe Girardi said. He’s been shut down for a few days. Coonrod, Brogdon, Alvarado, Sherriff banged up. Norwood had to leave for personal reasons. The roster math is getting … complicated.

— Matt Gelb ( @MattGelb ) April 3, 2022

And Bohm also struck out with runners on on a fastball at 94 mph basically over the middle of the plate. I think I’m coming around to him going down to AAA and learning to shorten the swing to hit the fastball. Without that, he’ll never amount to much anyway.

So? All players do this. If you want to make the case the Bohm does it too frequently... well, make that case (good luck with that, at least this spring). One bad at-bat tells us exactly nothing... about any hitter.

Bohm has not had a good spring. But he's struck out four times, in 34 plate appearances. He's walked three times. A BB% that's approaching 10% is generally considered good. A K% that's a little under 12%, in the modern game, is also pretty good. His BA is low (.226) - he's 7 for 31. If he had all of two more hits in those 31 AB, he'd be batting .290. Small (tiny) sample size will do that.

The issues with Bohm, at this point, are: 1) defense; and 2) power. Not the occasional strikeout - certainly not if he's striking out only 12% of the time. Now, it's a small sample, and Bohm's K% last year was more like 27%, which is not good. His numbers this spring may be a fluke, or they may reflect a real improvement. Small sample = Who knows?