Well, I'm as angry as anyone but I still see that they took a big step forward this year, unfortunately its really the first time in years they have been able to identify talent at the margins that they could play to their strengths to add depth, and even fix a guy's development (Jose Alvarado). When this team plays they way they are capable, and that's just having players perform at career norms, i think it's a team that can compete in the playoffs. What I can't explain is a team with all that talent that every September looks flat, disinterested and that plays so far down below their abilities. Maybe it is because there is a different skillset needed to win, I don't know.
Maybe part of it is the "don't panic" mentality that doesn't seem to respond to urgency. The quotes coming from the team and Thomson- "just trying to relax and have fun" "we don't really talk about the playoffs" "we've been in these kinds of funks before and come out of it"...well, you don't have time, every game does count, and maybe you should be focused on where you are and what it takes to get to the playoffs.
They took a significant step forward in spending and in wins, but it doesn't look like a solid foundation has been layed. The Castellano signing was awful. We started the season with a shortage of SP able to go a full season. That is catching up to us now. This team is slow, it field very poorly, and it tied up a lot of $ in future contracts. Can you make sense of this?
I guess I haven't had time to sift through my email today. As it happens I am not going to be in town and certainly wouldn't have felt any urgency in any case. It's not really a jinx, it's just how business works.
It looks like the rotation is set up for the remaining games as Wheeler, Nola, Suarez, and Falter. A rain out tomorrow would really screw things up for up timing wise for the playoffs. At that point, I wonder if they save Wheeler for a must win game or playoff game 1? Pitching Falter in a must win game would be tough on him.
I don't know that it would be tough on him. He seems to have the personality for it. And he'd basically be facing the Sugarland Skeeters, potentially. I think if tomorrow is rained out and the Brewers win you probably still let Wheeler pitch what is, in fact, a must-win game. The goal is to not play that make-up game. If you do, you figure that out then.
I am not ready to wrap my ahead around the possibility of all the Phillies, Astros and Padres all playing meaningless games, as well as the Phillies and Padres at least deep in the back of their mind, preferring sixth. But, first things first.
(And a first-round series against the Mets would certainly be something. What kind of something, I don't know.)
That is what's known as anecdote. Or a low-probability event. Could happen, doesn't mean it will. (Just like the Phillies blowing a 96% chance of the playoffs on September 14).
Also, how did the Phillies do against the Dodgers in the 1977 and 1978 regular season?
The Mets match-up is less about the season series as the pitching (and no less applicable with the Braves). On paper Mets cancel out any advantage Phillies might have with Wheeler and Nola. Cardinals don't do so at nearly the same level.
If you bundle the Phillies' September (11-14) and October (3-1), we are 14-15 in the final month of the season. Not good but not ghastly like some recent seasons. If the last week of the season is really the last seven games, we are 4-1 so far and, at worst, will go 4-3, our first winning final week of the season since 2017 when we went 5-2. And, last week's struggles now probably qualify as a stumble more so than a collapse. So, I think we can say that the September demon has probably been exorcised.