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Mar 2022
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Apr 2022
Oct 2022
el-pietro
Apr '22
andyb

3rd is a little high for the starters but I wouldn't say I'm shocked. Wheeler should have won the Cy Young, Nola is a solid 2/3, with some upside as a near Ace and there is depth in the starting 5 from Eflin, Gibson and especially Suarez.
The issue is when you go beyond those 5.

I'm a little surprised the Phillies are ranked ahead of the Mets but depending on when the injury status of their stars when the list was compiled it makes sense. It looks like they are only assuming 114 innings from deGrom and that would explain the difference. Hes expected to be basically equivalent to Nola over those innings, but they have to find the additional innings from a lesser player, in this case Fangraphs projects 1 Win from Tyler Megill over 90ish innings, which isn't bad, but depletes their depth if they have any further injuries.

15th in the bullpen I find to be shocking. I assumed this had to be NL only when I saw your post. The good news is they aren't expecting any of the Phillies relievers to be al that good. Less than a win for Knebel at the top of the pile, and a similar amount when you combine hand, Familia, Seranthony and Brodgon. So we can probably afford to lose a couple of the "top" guys and be mediocre.

zambonir
Apr '22

Only barely aware that it's Opening Day since no Phillies! Was thinking there might only be one game or something, but there's a bunch (as well two already postponed).

andyb
Apr '22
zambonir

Pretty cold and rainy here on the east coast, so they postponed a couple of the games where Friday was an off day (the traditional opening day sellout hedge that teams allow for in April).

zambonir
Apr '22

Yeah, Yankees, though the other one is in Minnesota. Will Mets and Nats get rain?

andyb
Apr '22

37 and rain in Minnesota today. 41 and sunny tomorrow is better I guess. Always thought they should have done a retractable roof in MN.

Nats moved their start time back 3 hours (4 to 7) because the rain is supposed to end here in the afternoon.

bkox
Apr '22

BREAKING: Ke’Bryan Hayes and the Pittsburgh Pirates are in agreement on a eight-year, $70 million contract extension that includes a club option for a ninth season, according to sources familiar with the situation.

— Robert Murray ( @ByRobertMurray ) April 7, 2022

Hayes’ $70 million guarantee is the largest contract in Pirates history and the largest guarantee ever signed by a player with at least 1 and less than 2 years of service time. Hayes is represented by Scott Lonergan of The Ballengee Group.

— Robert Murray ( @ByRobertMurray ) April 7, 2022

andyb
Apr '22

Buying out 3 years of free agency? Seems like a bargain for Pittsburgh.

bkox
Apr '22

yup and hes already 25 so he will be 34 when this deal is done.. meaning hes lost any chance of a huge FA payday.

bkeich
Apr '22

Probably genius by Pirates, but you can never tell. We did the same type thing with Singleton and Kingery and they were both disasters (unless Kingery improves). This is an even more extreme version of what we did, hope it works out.

bkox
Apr '22

The Astros did the deal with Singleton.

Philsmania
Apr '22

At the same time, we've seen seemingly smart at the time long term contracts to guys like Jonathan Singleton and Scott Kingery fizzle, so there is an element of risk as well. We'll see how this Hayes deal works out for the Pirates.

If Hayes does work out and the Pirates remain adrift despite that, he will make a very nice trade chip for them (unless there is a strict NTC).

andyb
Apr '22

They get so much criticism for this but it was only $10 million dollars (and he was on their major league roster for parts of 2 years so really only $9 million wasted).

The Singleton contract was a good risk for Houston that could have saved them lots of money. It just did not work out. The Kingery and Herrera contracts were good risks for the Phillies too. Herrera actually did work out even though it seems like it did not. We got about 5 WAR after he signed the deal. Kingery probably won't work out, but if he did recover and have a good year next year it might actually be a wash for the Phillies.

bkeich
Apr '22
bkox

You are right BK. My memory has been failing me a lot lately, honestly kinda concerning.

bkox
Apr '22

I was having a lot of issues like that until I eliminated most carbs from my diet. Brain fog was heavy before that

zambonir
Apr '22

Apparently dates back to his rookie year when Freeman and other vets tried to tell him how to dress/act, and enforce the Braves' conservative rules on player appearance (not the only team which has those obviously).

bkeich
Apr '22

Honestly, what it might do is simply cut the signing bonuses down. That wouldnt be enough I suspect, but it might be how to make that cost more reasonable. I couldnt read the article as it is behind a paywall, but I wonder if the $35K also accounts for the money players get for living expenses, etc. I realize that has gone way, way down over the years, but I think they do still get meal and laundry money? Is it just on the road? I am not really sure how this is handled now and if the article's pay includes that.

That said, it seems like a reasonable amount of pay to me. I dont know what they get now, I assume they get some pay but probably not anywhere near that much.