2019 Phillies Season Discussion

andyb 2019-03-24 20:39:09 UTC #7

There are probably some arguments to put Cesar in the 1 or 2 spots against some RH pitching. We can also plan Knapp and Williams' occasional starts for Realmuto and McCutchen against right-handers who have more trouble with left-handed hitters.

The lineup is not a problem now. It is just natural for other teams to try to skip their left-handed starters against us if they can.

el-pietro 2019-03-24 20:50:20 UTC #8

Its incredible how much better the lineup looks this year. Even guys who have been unreliable in the past seem much stronger further down the order.

If I was building a lineup and I knew the batters would not care what order they hit in then I'd go with the following but the difference is probably pretty small and so it probably makes more sense to bat the players where they are comfortable and to keep the order stable from game to game. I get the impression Franco will bat 8th and we will see Hernandez and Herrera in the 6th and 7th spot.

McCutchen R
Harper L
Segura R
Hoskins R
Realmuto R
Herrera L
Franco R
Pitcher
Hernandez S

zambonir 2019-03-24 21:09:16 UTC #9

It sounded like Hernandez would rather hit low in the order consistently than split his time between lead-off and elsewhere. But, y'know, a player can get used to that too if he knows when to expect it.

It also sounds like Kingery will get his looks at 3B, perhaps with the ground ball pitchers?

tom81 2019-03-24 21:20:29 UTC #10

If this is the Herrera we get this season I really like him in the 5 hole breaking up the righties. If we get the Herrera from the first part of last season all year long he would be a viable MVP candidate.

andyb 2019-03-24 23:17:15 UTC #11

Has the team been talking to Realmuto at all about an extension? If they are thinking about extending him, now would be a good time to catch a lower AAV (as he is making $5.9 million this year). Maybe give him $12 million next year and buy out 3 years of free agency at $15 million a year? $63 million total over 5 years.

Catchers are not getting huge long term deals any more. Something like this could be a good long term play for the Phillies if they are sure about Realmuto, who probably knows any catcher is an injury away from not getting a decent contract. Maybe the Phillies would have to go a bit higher (apparently he turned down 5/61 from the Marlins), but I don't know how much higher. Catchers are just not getting $20 million long term these days (Posey is at $18.4 AAV).

fish 2019-03-24 23:35:50 UTC #12

I think Realmuto will get something more like 20 mil a season. In an ideal world I think they would want to lock him up for the next 5 years. If he gets really good by the time he’s a free agent then I think a team will have to buy later free agent years they really don’t want to.

Sandy Leon placed on waivers. Maybe I’m crazy, but he seems like a no-brainer for the Phils to pick up. Love the idea of having a switch hitting backup catcher like Knapp, but unless he’s improving this spring, awful defense is a tough trait to live with in a backup catcher.

2019-2020 MLB Non-Phillies News/Notes Discussion

zambonir 2019-03-24 23:52:13 UTC #13

You've got think they've thought about it but the one difference between him and all the other extensions is those players have actually appeared in a game for their team. It's possible both sides want to give it a year, even with the benefit to both sides (the AAV for the Phillies the security for JTR).

Could happen in-season too.

andyb 2019-03-26 19:57:40 UTC #14

Phillies getting some national TV exposure the first week. ESPN+ just added the opener to its schedule. Games 2 and 3 against the Braves are on FS1 and ESPN respectively and MLB network has the 2 Nationals games.

zambonir 2019-03-26 20:53:15 UTC #15

ESPN+ games are still on MLB.TV right?

andyb 2019-03-26 21:06:59 UTC #16

Yes, they are not exclusive. I think they pick one game a day from the MLB.TV package and re-broadcast it.

I dropped the MLB package this year. Just did not watch it enough but I had ESPN+ grandfathered for free so between that, national games, and the 19 Nationals games (living in DC) I will get, I bet I get close to half the Phillies games this year. MLB Network looks like they have a half dozen games a week in addition to ESPN, FS1, and TBS.

andyb 2019-03-27 18:48:17 UTC #17

Encouraging article here on Arrieta. Biggest point is that his arm slot had changed since his peak years and he was getting less movement on his pitches as a result. Going back to the old arm slot in Spring Training returned the movement to his pitches, especially his sinker. And this is movement that is measured by all the new technology, so hopefully not just a wishful thinking Spring Training article.

mdougherty12 2019-03-27 18:52:09 UTC #18

Some anonymous scout really doesn't like Odubel Herrera:

https://deadspin.com/sports-illustrated-publishes-anonymous-scouts-tantrum-o-1833609121/amp

zambonir 2019-03-27 20:06:52 UTC #19

That's hilarious, tbh. Who do you suppose these alleged Phillies "baseball people" were who didn't want him, considering Klentak isn't even the guy who brought him into the organization? This sounds like a scout who isn't going to have his job for much longer (not because of this, just because he sounds like the type of scout new GMs and analytics-minded front offices won't want anymore).

From what I understand, it was a controversial signing internally, because none of their baseball people could stomach him, but Matt Klentak liked him because he’s a likable goofball kid.

zambonir 2019-03-27 22:19:20 UTC #20

They version that's now on the site got rid of the bleeped profanity, the "dog" and the unverifiable gossip.

el-pietro 2019-03-27 23:29:56 UTC #21

Interesting how it's always white guys who "play the right way". I'm surprised they printed that. It jumps off the page as racist to me.

phillychuck 2019-03-27 23:36:40 UTC #22

The deadspin reaction was the same--they called it out as racist pretty effectively:

"If you were filling out a Vaguely Racist Scouting Report bingo card, this report would be hard to beat. We’ve got:

A favorable invocation of Brett Gardner.
Calling the subject a “clown,” “goofball,” and “f***ing dog.”
Handwringing about “cash” being stuffed into the subject’s pockets.
“I’m an old-school guy.”
“Playing the game the right way.”

Yep, that’s bingo."

zambonir 2019-03-28 01:18:56 UTC #23

It was not in the magazine. They ran it longer online (until the edits/correction).

tom81 2019-03-31 12:08:44 UTC #24

Nola is now scheduled as the starter Wednesday. I guess Valesquez will be the long man if needed the next two games.

EastFallowfield 2019-03-31 13:53:49 UTC #25

Vince Velasquez will start this season pitching out of the bullpen as early as Saturday, according to Kapler. The right-hander will take his turn in the starting rotation at home on Monday, April 8, against the Nationals.

zambonir 2019-04-01 04:18:51 UTC #26

(The first column was really weak, we had better debates here.)